US MAIL TRAFFIC REPORT OCTOBER 30, 2023
October 30, 2023   Dave Lewis

B00!  OCTOBER ENDS UP WITH SOME TRICKS AND SOME TREATS.

The Postal Service stumbled through October, a busy month, with middling performance when you round it all out.  First-Class letters had a lousy week to wrap up a lousy October.  Last week, only 82.4% of First-Class letters were delivered on time, 85.0% for the month.  First-Class flats had a relatively good week, with “relatively” being the operative word.  84% of First-Class flats were delivered on time, at least better than the October average of 78.5%.  Yay?

Marketing Mail, bless its heart, motored along with Flats and Letters both over 95% on time for the week and the month.

TWO THINGS:

  • THING ONE:  Last year, in an election year, 90.9% of First-Class letters were delivered on time in October, 86.2% for flats.  Those were the gool old days, right?  Well, the headline for the October 31, 2022 US Mail Traffic Report was: “FIRST-CLASS MAIL STAYS BELOW AVERAGE.  SHOWS DRAMATIC DECLINE VS OCTOBER 2021.”
  • THING TWO:  I have puzzled for months trying to understand how Marketing Mail stays so consistent, while First-Class Mail…doesn’t.  I think it comes down to this:  Marketing Mail involves very little origin processing – it’s routed right to the delivery facility, and the Postal Service is great at delivering the last mile.  First-Class Mail requires a lot more origin processing, and most delays occur at the origin facility.  And yet, the 10-year plan is focusing on delivery facilities, where they are already pretty good.  This is just a theory, and I will be trying to bear it out with data. 

Oct 30



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